The Swiss go bezerk!

A “tale of two statements”:

On September 6 2011

The current massive overvaluation of the Swiss franc poses an acute threat to the Swiss economy and carries the risk of a deflationary development.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is therefore aiming for a substantial and sustained weakening of the Swiss franc. With immediate effect, it will no longer tolerate a EUR/CHF exchange rate below the minimum rate of CHF 1.20. The SNB will enforce this minimum rate with the utmost determination and is prepared to buy foreign currency in unlimited quantities.

Even at a rate of CHF 1.20 per euro, the Swiss franc is still high and should continue to weaken over time. If the economic outlook and deflationary risks so require, the SNB will take further measures.

Today (January 15 2015)

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is discontinuing the minimum exchange rate of CHF 1.20 per euro. At the same time, it is lowering the interest rate on sight deposit account balances that exceed a given exemption threshold by 0.5 percentage points, to −0.75%. It is moving the target range for the three-month Libor further into negative territory, to between –1.25% and −0.25%, from the current range of between −0.75% and 0.25%.

The minimum exchange rate was introduced during a period of exceptional overvaluation of the Swiss franc and an extremely high level of uncertainty on the financial markets. This exceptional and temporary measure protected the Swiss economy from serious harm. While the Swiss franc is still high, the overvaluation has decreased as a whole since the introduction of the minimum exchange rate. The economy was able to take advantage of this phase to adjust to the new situation.

Recently, divergences between the monetary policies of the major currency areas have increased significantly – a trend that is likely to become even more pronounced. The euro has depreciated considerably against the US dollar and this, in turn, has caused the Swiss franc to weaken against the US dollar. In these circumstances, the SNB concluded that enforcing and maintaining the minimum exchange rate for the Swiss franc against the euro is no longer justified.

The SNB is lowering interest rates significantly to ensure that the discontinuation of the minimum exchange rate does not lead to an inappropriate tightening of monetary conditions.

The SNB will continue to take account of the exchange rate situation in formulating its monetary policy in future. If necessary, it will therefore remain active in the foreign exchange market to influence monetary conditions.

It´s very confusing. Why does the USD suddenly pop up to “cancel-out” everything?

It clearly shows that interest rates DO NOT define the STANCE of monetary policy. The exchange rate ballooned AND the stock market crashed. THAT´s a clear sign that monetary policy has TIGHTENED considerably, despite “significant lowering of interest rates” (that don´t “ensure” anything).



Update: Scott Sumner rightly calls the action “pure stupidity”.


6 thoughts on “The Swiss go bezerk!

  1. I don’t know how they thought they could just abandon one target without clarity about what they’re doing in its place and not get the apparent result. It might have been a much better day if the statement had said they’d be adopting a NGDP-LT instead. 🙂

  2. Germans must be green with envy over 15% single-day return on vault cash. Bundesbank will want to do same for German savers, and use poor suffering Polish mortgages as pretext to appreciate Euro.

    Then again, maybe Germans will get the hint that they are in the wrong “Zone”. They should leave Euro and join the Swiss “Goldmember” Franc zone instead. We can hope.

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