I should have done this earlier…Recently I began to post in english, so to the “new entrants” I´ll say a bit about myself. While working as an economist at a large american corporation in the US in the mid 1990´s, I got interested in the US economy, particularly because I found the economic analysis being produced by investment banking houses mostly unconvincing. To most analysts, in late 1994 early 1995 the economy was set to “drown” and inflation was “lurking around the corner”. The “great Moderation” was a few years away from being “identified”. After returning to Brazil, I continued to write and talk about the US economy, publishing in 2002 a book of essays written between 1994 and 2000 that essentially tracked the US economy.
More recently, Scott Sumner sort of encouraged me to blog. I started doing it in portuguese but that changed…
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legal!
Bill, obrigado!
Nice, Joäo, I think we have a similar perspective. I can red Portuguese thanks to my reading of Pessoa (many times ago, when I can think i was young). I´ve see you have a lot of knowledge on recent economy history in “Monetary Ilusion”. I like very much Scott´s Blog.
So, when I´ll will get some doubt, I´ll ask for you.
I hope We´ll contact frequently.
Glad to meet you
this blog is great. it’s good to see an outside perspective on American policy not from England or Canada. it’s also great for retaining some of the little portuguese i learned in college! ha.
Lewis
Hope you keep coming back. At least you will keep practising the language!
Gostei mto do blog mas não dou conta de ler td. Vc posta bastante hehehe. Vc trabalha no mercado financeiro?
Parabens pelo trabalho
Thiago, não trabalho diretamente no mercado financeiro, só “em torno”. Realmente, tenho postado muito e talvez deva reduzir o volume. De todo modo vc não precisa ler tudo. Selecione o que parece te interessar. Espero continuar correspondendo.
É bom vê-lo substituindo importações na análise da economia dos EUA. Parabéns pela iniciativa. Vá em frente! Abs. RM
João,
Fantástico!!!!
João Marcus,
Passo a ser seguidor de seu blog.
O que li até agora, gostei muito.
Abraço.
Octavio de Barros
You´re Welcome!
Caro João,
Seu blog é excelente. Parabéns!
Boa João, voce melhorou muito a formatação de seu blog. Continuo a ler os seus escritos para não me deixar influenciar pelas analises dos economistas do mercado financeiro. Sua analise continua isenta e atraente. Abraços
João, como sempre suas analises continuam muito interessantes. Parabens pelo Blog! Abracos
Thanks for the great work, a great blog. You wrote an article in April of 2010 that was a very convincing (largely graphical) argument that tight money caused the great recession. I have been unable to find it, can you help? FWIW, I am an analyst at a buy side firm and I would like to use your article to… open people’s eyes.